Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000057 0.000059 0.000062 0.000065 0.000069 0.000072 0.000076
2025-03-23 0.000053 0.000057 0.000061 0.000066 0.000072 0.000078 0.000085
2025-03-30 0.000049 0.000054 0.000059 0.000065 0.000072 0.000080 0.000090
2025-04-06 0.000046 0.000051 0.000056 0.000063 0.000071 0.000081 0.000092
2025-04-13 0.000042 0.000047 0.000053 0.000060 0.000069 0.000079 0.000093
2025-04-20 0.000040 0.000045 0.000051 0.000058 0.000067 0.000078 0.000093
2025-04-27 0.000038 0.000043 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000078 0.000095
2025-05-04 0.000037 0.000043 0.000049 0.000058 0.000068 0.000082 0.000101
2025-05-11 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000058 0.000070 0.000085 0.000106
2025-05-18 0.000037 0.000043 0.000050 0.000060 0.000074 0.000091 0.000117
2025-05-25 0.000035 0.000041 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000090 0.000117
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000039 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000088 0.000116
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000039 0.000046 0.000056 0.000071 0.000090 0.000120
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000038 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000094 0.000129
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000037 0.000045 0.000057 0.000073 0.000095 0.000133
2025-06-29 0.000030 0.000036 0.000044 0.000055 0.000071 0.000094 0.000133
2025-07-06 0.000028 0.000034 0.000042 0.000053 0.000068 0.000092 0.000131
2025-07-13 0.000027 0.000033 0.000040 0.000051 0.000066 0.000089 0.000129
2025-07-20 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000050 0.000065 0.000089 0.000130
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000050 0.000067 0.000092 0.000138
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.000031 0.000039 0.000051 0.000068 0.000096 0.000146
2025-08-10 0.000026 0.000032 0.000040 0.000053 0.000072 0.000103 0.000161
2025-08-17 0.000025 0.000031 0.000039 0.000051 0.000070 0.000101 0.000161